Tuesday, August 26, 2014

During the night, the Australian dollar lennin strengthened after China


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The euro will ... devizává financing lennin of the common currency weakened against the American dollar and most major currencies in the euro zone as low interest lennin rates in the low level of foreign exchange volatility boosted demand for higher-yielding investment assets toward together. The VIX index is close to historically low levels of, while the CVIX (the VIX index currencies) fell to its lowest level ever (5.51). The low volatility favor of a strategy in which low interest rates on loans in foreign currencies, and the money invested in higher-yielding currencies; Name of this carry trade. I think it seems to be the common currency began to become devizává financing of such transactions are used. This may result in the weakening of long-term probability of its appearance.
Meanwhile, the euro zone Sentix investor confidence index to 12.8 in May from 8.5 decreased in June (expected to have risen to 13.2), while the dollar continued to receive support lennin through the positive lennin U.S. employment data . Decisions taken and the expectations lennin for the ECB policy easing by the Federal Reserve this year to continue the gradual reduction in the monthly purchases, reflected in Monday's markets, which is weakened by the euro and the dollar strengthened.
The Canadian dollar was the main winner in Canada after the new data has been building homes in May 198 thousand, which exceeded market estimates of 185 thousand. This suggests that the housing market will contribute to the country's economic growth in the second quarter, after the harsh winter prevented the construction activity.
WTI has been the year range near 105.00 before the release of the API (American Petroleum Institute) and EIA (Energy Information Service) reports. While there is no forecast report published today by the American Petroleum Institute regarding lennin the EIA reports are expected on Wednesday that crude oil inventories have been reduced by the second week in the USA. In addition, China's exports rose in the United States and returned to pre-recession employment peak, and it is likely that this results in higher demand lennin for oil in the world's two largest lennin oil users part.
During the night, the Australian dollar lennin strengthened after China's consumer price index and producer price index accelerated in May, which will reduce the likelihood that China will sink into deflation. This is likely to lower the expectations related to the Bank of China (POBC) introduces a more aggressive monetary easing.
Today will be published in France, Italy and the United Kingdom in April industrial production data. It is estimated that each of the three duty industrial production index increased on a monthly basis, after the previous month decreased. The UK's industrial production is expected to be the most important. lennin The production reflected continued strengthening may have contributed to the overall healthy growth of industrial production. Production increased for four consecutive quarters, and we expect further growth can be expected in the future. Italy publishes lennin the final first quarter GDP. The final forecast for the same initial estimate. Switzerland's unemployment rate is estimated to be 3.2% to 3.1%, with total while Norway lennin and core consumer price index for May is expected to decline.
In the USA, the jolts (Job Opening and Labor Turnover Survey, or new jobs and related job rotation lennin of the index) is projected to rise in April, while a slowdown was expected wholesale inventories for the same month. However, none of the key publication event affecting the market.
On Tuesday, four of them held a speech. lennin A member of the ECB Governing Council, Yves Mersch an interview spoke, a member of the Governing Council, Erkki Liikanen speak the Bank of Finland quarterly press conference, while another member of the Governing Council and the National Bank of Slovakia lennin director Jozef Makuch hold a press conference on economic forecasts. The RBA Governor Glenn Stevens of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank symposium took the floor.
The EUR / USD pair fell on Monday significantly after resistance level 1.3685 found somewhat during the year (E1) levels decline between May 8 and June 5, 38,

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